In order to make a dynamic comparison and
analysis with the change of China's industrial structure in the same period,
this paper selects the industrial data of the United States from 1978 to 2019
for a phased analysis. Compared with the United States, China's industrial
structure changes are relatively backward. In the early stage of China's reform
and opening up, the tertiary industry in the United States has accounted for
more than half of its GDP, with the value fluctuating around 70%. Since 1978,
the contribution rate of the tertiary industry in the United States has been
much higher than that of the primary and secondary industries, showing an
increasing trend year by year. The contribution rate of China's tertiary
industry only exceeded 50% in 2005 (Figure 7).

Figure 7: Changes in the
proportion of the tertiary industry in China, Germany and the UK from 2001 to
2019.
Data source: According to the China Statistical Yearbook, the
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, (BEA), The Federal Statistical Office of
Germany and The Office for National Statistics in The UK.
The development of the
service industry in the United States not only provides a powerful impetus to
the development of the national economy, but also plays a role in stabilizing
the balanced development of the national economy. Thanks to the vigorous
development of the service industry in the United States, its import and export
of service trade ranks first in the world, and it makes up for the deficit of
trade in goods through the surplus of service trade. Since 2001, the proportion
of the tertiary industry in the old industrial countries such as Germany,
Germany and the UK is above 60% and shows a steady rising trend. It can be seen
that the industrialization of developed countries has become mature and they
have begun to step into the so-called "post-industrial society".
Therefore, in order to promote the dual process of industrialization and
modernization in China, it is necessary to vigorously develop the service
industry and improve the contribution rate of the tertiary industry.
Development
of China's trade in services
From the early days of
the founding of the People's Republic of China to the 1990s, China's foreign
trade was dominated by trade in goods. Affected by inherent factors such as
simple industrial structure and backward industrial development level at that time,
trade in services was in a very slow development stage for a long time. Since
1990, the import and export volume of services trade has been increasing year
by year. The industries such as tourism and international project contracting
services have developed rapidly. According to the statistics of the WTO, China
received over 72.79 million inbound tourists in 1999 and became one of the
world's top ten international tourism countries. International engineering
contracting services from four companies at the early stage of the reform and
opening up to more than 1400, trade in services showed more open domestic
market, more participation in the international communication features, but the
overall development level is low, services trade accounts for only about 3% of
the world service trade, service trade deficit since 1995. Since China's
accession to the WTO in 2001, the development of services trade has been
improved in a qualitative way. In particular, in 2003, China's total import and
export volume of services trade exceeded US $100 billion for the first time.
Exports of high value-added services, represented by consulting, computer and
information services, grew rapidly. The import of new services represented by
insurance services, royalties and franchises grows rapidly, basically forming a
pattern of comprehensive development between traditional services such as
tourism and transportation and modern services such as computer and information
services, consultation and advertising. More importantly, since 2013, the State
Council first approved the establishment of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, China
free trade zone has gradually formed the "1+3+7+1+6+3" the basic
pattern, provides the services trade liberalization and facilitation to the
development of the environment, trade in services in the nation's overall
opening up by "supporting role" into "leading role", since
entering the high quality development stage (Figure 8).

Figure 8: Overall situation of
china's import and export of service trade from 1982 to 2019 (Unit: USD 100
million).
Data Source: Uncomtrade database
The
typical fact that services and trade in services drive economic growth
The change of
industrial structure and the development of emerging trade conform to the
requirements of the Times, especially the importance of service industry and
trade in services for high-quality economic development should not be ignored.
The service industry, especially producer services, mainly plays a positive
role by nurturing the manufacturing industry. Development of producer services
helps the manufacturing industry to reduce production costs and optimize the
industrial chain, so as to promote the transformation and upgrading of the
manufacturing industry [4].
Services
feedback manufacturing
Financial services: The emergence of corporate finance facilitates the
financing of manufacturing enterprises and then promotes the development of the
real economy. No matter from the perspective of the overall financial industry
or the subdivided financial industry, its original purpose is to serve the
development of the manufacturing industry [5]. On the one hand, financial
institutions make use of their advantages to evaluate and analyze multiple
investment projects, and then allocate funds to the investment projects with
the highest yields to promote the short-term development of the manufacturing
industry. On the other hand, the innovation of financial financing methods and
the improvement of financial financing efficiency improve the financing
environment of the manufacturing industry and promote the long-term development
of the manufacturing industry.
Information services: Technology helps to reduce the information
asymmetry information industry, to improve the use efficiency of various
production factors in the process of manufacturing, high technology and
information services and advanced concepts of wide, can through transforming
the huge industry development and implementation of new business development,
and upgrading manufacturing structure to make it move towards the new
industrialization road [6,7]. At the same time, the development of new
information service industry not only promotes the innovation of the
manufacturing industry in production technology and management mode, but also
reduces the transaction cost for enterprises to obtain services from the
market, providing stronger support and promotion for the development of the
manufacturing industry.
Modern logistics services: Logistics service affecting the market
competitiveness of manufacturing industry, the development of various logistics
resources optimization configuration, is beneficial to reduce the manufacturing
logistics cost, especially to make logistics outsourcing manufacturing
enterprises focus on cultivating and promoting the core competitiveness,
reducing the investment in fixed assets, improving the production of flexible,
providing value-added services, increasing the overall economic benefits of the
industry and structurally embedding logistics enterprises in the supporting
activities of the manufacturing value chain to provide more professional and
higher quality logistics services, thus increasing the profit of the
manufacturing value chain and improving the efficiency of the manufacturing
industry [8].
Tourism: As a typical consumer service industry, tourism
plays a certain role in promoting the development of manufacturing industry.
Its foreign exchange income is a useful supplement to trade and can raise
necessary funds for manufacturing industry. Although the resource transfer effect
of tourism has a crowding out effect on the development of manufacturing
industry, the income effect positively promotes its development. Therefore,
when the income effect exceeds the resource transfer effect, the social welfare
will be increased (Figure 9).
Figure 9: Development trend of
some services and manufacturing industries from 2010 to 2019 (Unit: trillion
yuan).
Data source: According to China Statistical Yearbook
It can be seen directly
from Figure 9 that in the past decade, the manufacturing industry and the
service industry have shown a trend of synchronous and benign development, and
the promoting role of the service industry in the transformation and upgrading
of the manufacturing industry cannot be ignored.
The
classic path of services trade to boost economic growth
According to the theory
represented, the existing international trade theory based on trade in goods is
also applicable to trade in services [9]. The study was the first to show that there
was a positive correlation between financial services trade and economic growth
[10]. The first to explain the influence mechanism of trade promoting economic
growth. Domestic and foreign scholars have further studied the role of services
trade in promoting economic growth from different trade sectors and services
trade in different transaction modes. Through reading and sorting out existing
literature, they have summarized the following four classic paths [11].
Trade complementary effect: Under the function of services trade
liberalization, foreign services companies reduced barriers to entry, more and
more efficient in the middle of the service to enter more easily, to make up
for the domestic low efficiency and the single type of related services, improving
the quality of service among domestic manufacturing, directly promote the
promotion enterprise's productivity.
Trade competition effect: With the deepening of trade
liberalization, competition among industries has intensified. The import of
foreign services lowers the price of domestic services through the competitive
effect, not only causes the manufacturing industry to obtain high quality of
productive service, also makes the domestic related industries to improve in
the quality of service, so as to realize the comprehensive upgrade of the
manufacturing industry to the advanced and service-oriented.
Technology spillover effect: By the theory of factor endowment,
enterprises improve production efficiency by adjusting the proportion of
element allocation, and a country's import of high quality intermediate service
inputs is an act of adjusting the proportion of factors used, not only improves
the technical content of domestic production activities, but also introduces
the human capital and knowledge capital included in foreign high-level services
into the production process of domestic manufacturing industry to improve the
productivity of enterprises.
Economies of scale: By outsourcing the productive services that
enterprises are not good at, they not only focus on the core production links,
but also make up for the deficiency of the domestic supply of high-level
productive services, which is conducive to the integration and utilization of
more high-quality resources, the reduction of production costs, and the
realization of economies of scale within enterprises and the whole industry
[12]. In addition, trade in services deepens the specialization of producer
services, increases the variety and quality of intermediate inputs used by
downstream industries, which promotes the improvement of production efficiency
in technology-intensive manufacturing industries [13]. To sum up, the service
industry has not only become an important booster of world economic growth, but
also become a new engine of China's economic growth. The development of the
service industry plays a key role in the stable operation of the national
economy. We should not only optimize the internal structure of the service
sector, but also make flexible use of big data, cloud computing and artificial
intelligence to provide new technical means for the development of trade in
services and expand the emerging field of services trade. What’s more, giving
full play to the positive role of free trade zones in promoting
institution-based opening-up and accelerating the internationalization of the
service industry to promote the high-quality development of services trade.