Two models (abbreviated
as: A and B) of salinization process dynamics in Lake Kinneret were defined: A
model attributed salinization dynamics to geo-hydrological dynamics of the
interphase contact between underground salutes and water flows in the aquifers.
The B model rely on the major function of water balance. The A model did not
evaluate data collected before 1960 and the B model verify field data before
1960. It is suggested that B is well adapted to short-term (days and weeks)
prediction when great runoff inputs enhance decline of lake salinity, whilst
for long-term period (months and years) when water retention time is long,
additional water migration through aquifers initiate salinity elevation as
predicted by A model. According to B, reduction of runoff inputs implies
salinity increase and A indicates that increase of salinity is the result of
water yield enhancement in the aquifers (enhanced by runoffs). The original
Kinneret salinity probably ranged between 250-350. Salinity fluctuation has
probably lesser impact on the biota (flora and fauna) of Lake Kinneret. The
phytoplankton is highly vulnerable to nutrient availability changes and to a
lesser extent to salinity per se. It is not impossible that freshwater algae
might be adapted to salinity changes of ups and downs but the amplitude ranges
has not definition yet, as well as salinity decline. Kinneret salinity was
lowered from 400 ppm in 1967 to 200 ppm during the early 1980’s, and the
phytoplankton composition was fairly stable and significant change came 30
years later when Nitrogen deficiency and N/P mass ration was developed. Then,
the domination of the bloom forming Peridnium spp. diminished and Harmful
Cyanobacteria enhanced. To achieve reasonable protection of Lake Kinneret
ecosystem, an outlined target of salinity below 350 ppm is accepted. If the
usage of the Kinneret waters would be mostly directed towards agricultural
irrigation, it is probably cheaper to control salinity by the less expensive
operation of hydrological conditions than the expensive processes of salts
removal.
One Year test case that was documented by
Mekorot, National water Supply Company, Laboratory and Kinneret Watershed Unite
in an interim annual report: October 2018-October 2019 is given here in (Figure
1).
Figure
1: Linear regression (95% Ci and regression parameters
are given) between monthly means of Chloride concentration (ppm) and Total load
(tons) in Lake Kinneret during October 2018 – October 2019.
This Information
indicates the followings: during winter months (short-term) Chloride
concentration was lowered by 39 ppm whilst documentation of annual (long-term)
change represent an increase of 36,000 tons of salt lads to loads in Lake
Kinneret. This conservative load would enhance salt accumulation in the Lake
unless partly removed through pumping or Dam spilling. Nevertheless, total
annual pumping withdraw was 136.2 mcm (106 m3) which is
about three times lower than earlier removals. The annual natural evaporation
of pure water that was estimated as 254.3 mcm has no impact on the lake load.